business · prediction B2
Palantir hits its raised FY2026 guidance
Open·made August 6th 2026·resolves March 31st 2027
80% confidence
Why I called it
They raised by about $1B mid-year, which implies visibility most software companies never have. The risk is timing rather than demand: government contracts slipping a quarter would do it.
What countsCorrect if reported FY2026 revenue comes in at $8.15B or above.
What I based it on
The call, in full. Palantir meets or exceeds its raised FY2026 revenue guidance of $8.15B.
Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if reported FY2026 revenue >= $8.150B in the Q4/FY2026 report. Direct check against a single reported number.
The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.
Related
- Where this call was made: Editorial: Business
- Two more lab spin-outs of the Discovery Loop shape · 75%, open
- A major breach names prompt injection as a root cause · 75%, open
- A Fortune 500 publicly pulls back from an agent program · 70%, open