finance · prediction F1
Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI
Open·made August 6th 2026·resolves August 6th 2027
75% confidence
Why I called it
Secondary-market bid/ask imbalance plus better revenue quality: Anthropic's revenue is more enterprise and more contracted, which is materially easier to underwrite.
What countsCorrect if Anthropic shares begin public trading before OpenAI's do. Void if neither lists by the resolution date.
What I based it on
The call, in full. Anthropic completes its IPO before OpenAI completes one.
Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if Anthropic shares begin public trading before OpenAI's do. RESOLVES WRONG if OpenAI lists first. VOID if neither lists by the resolution date.
The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.
Related
- Where this call was made: Editorial: Finance
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