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business · prediction B1

Two more Chinese humanoid makers file or list by year-end

Open·made August 14th 2026·resolves December 31st 2026
75% confidence

Why I called it

X Square Robot has filed confidentially in Hong Kong, AgiBot has hired three sponsors and begun the process, and Galbot is reported preparing a filing. The AI-datacenter cycle and Beijing's embodied-intelligence push have opened a listing window the whole sector is running through at once, and Hong Kong first-half IPO proceeds already ran 92% ahead of last year. With three names in motion, two closing is the base case rather than the bet.

What countsCorrect if two or more Chinese firms other than Unitree list or file by December 31st. Wrong if fewer than two do.
What I based it on

The call, in full. At least two Chinese humanoid-robot companies other than Unitree complete an IPO or submit a public or confidential exchange filing between August 14th and December 31st 2026.

Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if two or more distinct Chinese humanoid-robot companies other than Unitree announce a completed IPO or a public or confidential exchange filing, confirmed by a named outlet or exchange record, on or before 2026-12-31 23:59 UTC. RESOLVES WRONG otherwise.

The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.

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