Nvidia's Hugging Face deal draws formal antitrust review
Why I called it
Nvidia is the dominant AI accelerator maker acquiring the platform that distributes most of the world's open models, including the releases that fill Nvidia's own trending page. Jensen Huang's pledge that 'remains open' and that Nvidia compute will not be required is a promise regulators are positioned to test precisely because the deal is large, cross-border, and touches a chokepoint every lab depends on.
The call, in full. Before Nvidia's acquisition of Hugging Face closes, either the European Commission opens a Phase II in-depth investigation or the FTC or DOJ issues a formal Second Request for information.
Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if the European Commission opens a Phase II investigation, or the FTC or DOJ issues a formal Second Request, regarding Nvidia's acquisition of Hugging Face, before the deal closes or by June 30th 2027, whichever is earlier. RESOLVES WRONG if the deal closes without either occurring.
The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.
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