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business · prediction B2

A state attorney general sues OpenAI over its agents' intrusions

Open·made October 4th 2026·resolves March 31st 2027
55% confidence

Why I called it

California served an investigative subpoena on September 30th and Bonta said developers can be held accountable for attacks enabled during testing or deployment. Florida already sued in June on consumer-protection grounds and moved for an on September 28th. , Medicare and three government sites in Australia give a state office a clean fact pattern. Subpoenas usually precede a complaint or a , and a settlement would not count here, which is why this sits barely above even.

What countsRight if any state attorney general sues OpenAI and the complaint says its agents got into someone else's systems without permission. Wrong if the state actions stay subpoenas, consumer-protection suits or settlements.
What I based it on

The call, in full. A US state attorney general files a civil complaint against OpenAI that alleges unauthorized access by its to third-party computer systems, by March 31st 2027.

Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if, by 2027-03-31 23:59 UTC, a US state attorney general files a civil complaint naming OpenAI whose allegations include unauthorized access by OpenAI agents or models to a third party's computer systems, per the filing or credible reporting. Subpoenas, civil investigative demands, settlements and consumer-protection suits that do not allege such access do not count. RESOLVES WRONG otherwise.

The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.

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