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business · prediction B3

Google reopens paid OSS VRP product submissions by March 31st

Open·made October 4th 2026·resolves March 31st 2027
60% confidence

Why I called it

Invalid automated reports have made verification expensive enough to close an intake route, but genuine outside discoveries still have value. I expect Google to restore a narrower route with stronger proof requirements. Its promised first-quarter update is not a reopening commitment, so this forecast deliberately goes beyond the announcement.

What countsRight if Google officially reopens at least one paid OSS VRP product-vulnerability category to generally eligible researchers by March 31st. A supply-chain-only program, an invitation-only pilot or an update without reopening means wrong.
What I based it on

The call, in full. Google reopens at least one paid product-vulnerability category in its Open Source Software Vulnerability Rewards Program to generally eligible researchers by March 31st 2027.

Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if, by 2027-03-31 23:59 UTC, official Google OSS VRP rules or an official announcement permit generally eligible researchers to submit product vulnerabilities in at least one category eligible for monetary rewards. Supply-chain-only submissions, invitation-only pilots and announcements of future reopening do not count. RESOLVES WRONG otherwise.

The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.

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