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finance · prediction F1

Nvidia signs credit support for Nscale's Anthropic campus by January 31st

Open·made October 30th 2026·resolves January 31st 2027
60% confidence

Why I called it

The Information and Bloomberg report talks, and Nvidia already owns part of Nscale and has pushed it to bring capacity online faster. Banks shelved an Anthropic-linked data-center bond the day before, so the project needs a stronger name behind its debt, and Nvidia gains a chip sale by providing one. The risk is that Nscale's raises enough equity to make the guarantee unnecessary.

What countsRight if Nvidia, Nscale or Anthropic discloses by January 31st that Nvidia has agreed to guarantee or otherwise back Nscale's borrowing for the West Virginia campus, or a major outlet reports it signed. Wrong if it is still only talks, or the talks end.
What I based it on
Bbloomberg

The call, in full. Nvidia provides a guarantee or other credit support for Nscale's debt tied to its West Virginia campus for Anthropic, publicly disclosed by January 31st 2027.

Scoring criterion. RESOLVES CORRECT if by 2027-01-31 23:59 UTC a press release or filing from Nvidia, Nscale or Anthropic, or reporting by Bloomberg, Reuters, the Financial Times or The Information, states that Nvidia has agreed to provide a guarantee, backstop or other credit support for Nscale debt financing tied to its West Virginia campus. RESOLVES WRONG otherwise.

The criterion is the machine-checkable version: a prediction that cannot be settled by a third party against a public source fails the build before it reaches this page.

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