Aug 22 2026

OpenAI asks California to strengthen SB 53, the AI safety law it lobbied against, proposing monitoring of frontier models during training and stronger cybersecurity requirements, under a stated doctrine of "reverse federalism".

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OpenAI's Astra maths results survive independent scrutiny · 80%, resolves December 31st 2026
OpenAI never publishes the raw Astra reasoning traces · 75%, resolves February 28th 2027
Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI · 75%, resolves August 6th 2027
OpenAI does not IPO in September · 80%, resolves September 30th 2026
OpenAI signs another $10B+ non-Azure compute deal · 65%, resolves August 6th 2027
A second flagship API adopts time-of-day pricing · 55%, resolves February 17th 2027

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Aug 21 2026PEOPLE

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