Sep 10 2026

Anthropic attributes industrial-scale distillation campaigns to Alibaba, Moonshot, DeepSeek and MiniMax

SAFETYOPEN

Original reporting

The September threat report attributes over 151 million Claude exchanges to an Alibaba-linked campaign feeding Qwen training, with separate proxy campaigns attributed to Moonshot, DeepSeek and MiniMax. All attributions are Anthropic's own.

Named in this event

AnthropicAlibabaMoonshot AIDeepSeekMiniMax

Open calls that touch this

Anthropic holds the Sonnet 5 price increase · 70%, resolves November 30th 2026
A Chinese lab open-weights a model at 2.8T parameters or larger · 80%, resolves February 28th 2027
Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI · 75%, resolves August 6th 2027
Alibaba ships the Qwen3.8-Max weights by August 16th · 65%, resolves August 16th 2026
DeepSeek holds the August 16th price increase · 70%, resolves November 14th 2026
Anthropic keeps Model 2 unreleased through February 2027 · 70%, resolves March 1st 2027

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